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  #1  
Old 29-03-2012, 18:23
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Default OctaFX.Com - Financial News and Analysis

Dear members we provides the latest market-based economy reviews. Please track our Analytical comments and research news and you’ll be informed about Forex veracities. We are anticipating that our indepth reviews must lift the standards of your trading. Analytical support is one of our massive advantages. Octafx has a large internal analytical section, gathering top level professionals in market research. Our analysts provides round-the-clock analytical support covering over 120 total market news, comments, opinions, predictions and much more. Our seasoned analysts also provides comments for several business broadcasting companies and TV shows.
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Old 06-08-2013, 10:33
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[COLOR="#0000FF"]USD/CHF offered sub 0.9300[/COLOR]


FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - USD/CHF attempted a recovery overnight from support zone 0.9260 but has since been rejected just shy of 0.9300.

USD/CHF is holding up at 0.9280 for the time being on what has been a quiet European session so far across the board. . Today on the event side of things we have a little bit of US data starting out wit the Trade Balance (Jun) expected -$43.10B. Then we will see Redbook Index (YoY) and (MoM) (Jul 28). For Switzerland, we will wait for tomorrow and see the outcomes of CPI (MoM) and (YoY) (Jul).

USD/CHF moves below pivot 0.9293

USD/CHF has filed to the topside of its overnight run and has ticked below the pivot 0.9293. The 20d ma is 0.9370, 50 d ma is 0.9393 and the 200 d ma 0.9359. RSI (9) reads 38.02. Supports are ascending from 0.9130, 0.9176, 0.9226, 0.9246 while spot is currently trading at 0.9275. Resistances are 0.9280, 0.9310, 0.9333 and 0.9395









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  #3  
Old 06-08-2013, 14:42
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US: IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism deteriorates to 45.1 in August against forecasts


FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The sentiment of US consumers dropped to 45.1 in August from 47.1 in July, the Investor's Business Daily (IBD) TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics (TIPP) informed on Tuesday. Analysts expected an improvement to 47.9.






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Old 06-08-2013, 15:07
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Flash: Sterling could test 200 d ma 1.5545 - BBH


FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Marc Chandler, Global Head of Currency Strategy at BBH notes that Sterling traders are cautious of a surprise from Carney.

Key Quote:

“We think caution of a surprise by Carney has prevented sterling from benefiting from the improved economic data and the modest backing up of interest rates”.

“ Barring, then, a significant surprise from Carney, we suspect sterling could trade higher; recover further against the euro, where the ECB is likely to keep rates low for longer (and risk renewed tensions after the summer holidays and German election)”.

“Against the dollar, sterling can test the late July high near $1.5435. A break of that area, which also corresponds to a retracement objective from the June 17 peak near $1.5750 would likely encourage a test on the 200-day moving average seen near $1.5545”.






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  #5  
Old 06-08-2013, 17:31
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[COLOR="#0000FF"]EUR/USD bounces after short-lived correction[/COLOR]


FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The EUR/USD staged a short-lived correction from daily highs, sliding toward the 1.3280 area before finding support.

EUR/USD back above 1.3300

However, EUR/USD managed to climb back above the 1.3300 mark most recently as bears lacked determination to drag the pair lower. The EUR/USD is currently trading at the 1.3310 zone, where it records a 0.4% gain on the day in a low-volume quiet summer session, with Fed Evans saying that he wouldn't clearly rule out September tapering weighing on the greenback.

EUR/USD technical levels

Technically speaking, the EUR/USD could face immediate resistances at 1.3320 (daily high) and 1.3345 (Jul 31 high) followed by 1.3400 (psychological level), while supports might be found at 1.3255 (100-hour SMA) and 1.3230 (Aug 5 low).






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  #6  
Old 06-08-2013, 17:46
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GBP/USD riding turbulent gains


FXstreet.com (Chicago) - GBP/USD accumulates 0.12% daily gains so far after reaching weekly highs close to 1.5400 to quickly retrace below 1.5370 regions, where it currently navigates.

Outperforming data in the UK pushed the pound to higher levels as house prices (YoY) out beat expected 4.3% for a 4.6%. Yearly industrial and manufacturing production were 1.2% vs. previous -2.3% and an expected 0.6% as well as 2.0% vs. previous -2.9% respectively. Nonetheless, as trade balance data was released in the US at $-34.22B vs. previous $-44.10B and projected $-43.50B, the pound was sent to 1.5332 lows.

Price action indicated market participants were bullish as the price rose above 1.5370 regions within minutes. Trading at 1.5381, the FXstreet trend index reported the pair as slightly bullish with key supports at 1.5307, 1.5269 ahead of 1.5231 and resistances at 1.5429, 1.5468 and 1.5507







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  #7  
Old 06-08-2013, 17:53
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[COLOR="#0000FF"]USD/CHF careens off 0.9270 level[/COLOR]

FXstreet.com (New York) - The USD/CHF summarily reversed off the 0.9270 region Tuesday afternoon during US trading, diving deeper towards the 0.9250 level in short-order.

USD/CHF strategic bias

According to the Technical Analyst Team at ICN.com, “The USD/CHF failed to stabilize above Linear Regression Indicators but has yet to stabilize above 0.9265. Therefore, the possibility of a new attempt to the upside is valid today as long as the pair stabilizes above 0.9200.”

The USD/CHF seems quite a sizable distance away from the 0.9300 level, despite trading as high as 0.9297 earlier today. Presently, the pair is now operating at a -0.19% loss, buried at 0.9253. Briefing the technicals, the USD/CHF will look to test support at 0.9246, ahead of 0.9226, and 0.9176, calculates the Danske Research Team.






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  #8  
Old 06-08-2013, 18:00
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]


USD/JPY back to the edge of the abyss

FXstreet.com (Chicago) - USD/JPY accumulated -3.43% monthly losses, -1.20% weekly losses and 0.61% daily losses as the pair was unable to maintain its position above 98.00 key psychological support.

Price action indicated the greenback weakened against a stronger yen up 0.62% in terms of relative performance. After navigating above the 98.5 regions, the price cracked down back to 6-weeks low levels. On outlook for the BoJ’s monetary policy statement later this week, market participants seemed to feel bearish against the dollar.

Trading at 97.71, the pair oscillated between supports at 97.57 (June 5th highs), 97.41 (June 27 lows), 97.21 (June 21st lows) and resistances at 97.75 (June 11 lows), 97.83 (June 26 lows) ahead of 97.95 (June 24 lows). The ICN technical analysis team confirmed bearish sentiment based on the following statements: “After touching levels around 98.60, the pair dropped proving its bearish bias. Stochastic is becoming more negative reflecting the negative bias, as RSI is moving to the downside below line 50. The pair is also stable below Linear Regression Indicators, therefore we hold on to our negative expectations.”






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  #9  
Old 06-08-2013, 18:09
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Flash: Is GBP/USD undervalued heading into BoE? – BMO Capital Markets



FXstreet.com (New York) - The current net short positioning in the GBP based on CFTC data alone appears to be a remnant of two things, primarily: the early 2013 GBP sell-off and the embedded GBP weakness inspired by the July BoE statement alongside the concurrent slump in UK rates, suggests Greg Anderson, Global Head of FX Strategy at BMO Capital Markets.

Key quotes

“With this in mind, the most likely avenue for shock in FX over tomorrow’s BoE event risk would appear to the upside in GBP/USD.”

“Should the BoE formally adopt Fed/ECB-style forward guidance on rates and leave market participants on a purely data-dependent path, we think its unlikely that the GBP will remain below $1.5450, given the extent of upside surprises in the recent dataflow.”





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  #10  
Old 07-08-2013, 15:07
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FGBP/USD rally capped at 1.5530 region
]


FXstreet.com (New York) - The GBP/USD foreign exchange rate surged higher throughout US trading, having jumped on the BoE, though the rally seems to have cooled recently.

Presently, the GBP/USD is operating off its highs at 1.5532, now testing 1.5500 in these moments. Technically speaking, resistances will trigger for the pair at 1.5500, onto 1.5550, and 1.5570, notes the Technical Analyst Team at ICN.com.

GBP/USD strategic bias

The BoE Inflation Report was the Bank’s official start of forward guidance, and it’s hard to interpret the document as anything but dovish. In addition to clearly talking down rates—as they did in their July meeting – the Bank also upheld the potential for further QE if conditions warrant.

According to the TD Securities Team, “Despite the clearly dovish implications of the report, it seems to have some credibility issues with the market, with the moves in GBP interest rate futures running counter to what would be expected. The GBP/USD reaction was initially negative, but has quickly turned and the currency is now at a fresh cycle high in the July/August bull run. The reaction may not be complete however, and today could remain a volatile day for the GBP.”





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  #11  
Old 07-08-2013, 15:14
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Flash: CAD Technical Outlook –TD Securities
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FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Research teams at TD Securities offer their analyses on CAD.

Key Quotes:

“USD/CAD recovery stalls in the mid 1.04 area today but broader signals are very constructive and we look for the USD bull trend to get back on track quickly”.

“Modest USD/CAD dips are a buy”.

“EUR/CAD pushes through 1.38”.

“AUD/CAD stabilizes but weak trend shows no sign of reversing”.

“GBP/CAD spikes towards the upper end of the broader trading range”.

“CAD/JPY downtrend pick up momentum again”.





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  #12  
Old 07-08-2013, 15:52
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EUR/USD keeps pushing higher


FXstreet.com (Edinburgh) - The bloc currency is inching higher on Tuesday, lifting the EUR/USD to another test of weekly highs around 1.3330.

EUR/USD consolidating above 1.3300

The EUR rally is picking up pace in the European afternoon, bolstered by investors’ preference for riskier assets in detriment of the greenback, dragged to session lows – in terms of the Dollar index. According to weekly charts, Tim Riddell, Head of Global Markets Research at ANZ suggested, “Despite pockets of apparent impulsive price action, the broader profile remains that of a likely protracted consolidation pattern into year end. The near term show of strength could trigger an early push towards the upper bounds of the range, but the favoured profile is for failure in front of 1.35 and for an interim flush to define range support – beware bull-traps”.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment the pair is up 0.0314 at 1.3324 and a breakout of 1.3345 (high Jul.31) would target 1.3417 (high Jun.19) en route to 1.3456 (high Feb.14). On the downside, the immediate support aligns at 1.3246 (low Aug.6) followed by 1.32233 (low Aug.5) and then 1.5200 (psychological level).FXstreet.com (Edinburgh) - The bloc currency is inching higher on Tuesday, lifting the EUR/USD to another test of weekly highs around 1.3330.

EUR/USD consolidating above 1.3300

The EUR rally is picking up pace in the European afternoon, bolstered by investors’ preference for riskier assets in detriment of the greenback, dragged to session lows – in terms of the Dollar index. According to weekly charts, Tim Riddell, Head of Global Markets Research at ANZ suggested, “Despite pockets of apparent impulsive price action, the broader profile remains that of a likely protracted consolidation pattern into year end. The near term show of strength could trigger an early push towards the upper bounds of the range, but the favoured profile is for failure in front of 1.35 and for an interim flush to define range support – beware bull-traps”.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment the pair is up 0.0314 at 1.3324 and a breakout of 1.3345 (high Jul.31) would target 1.3417 (high Jun.19) en route to 1.3456 (high Feb.14). On the downside, the immediate support aligns at 1.3246 (low Aug.6) followed by 1.32233 (low Aug.5) and then 1.5200 (psychological level).





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  #13  
Old 07-08-2013, 16:18
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Precious metals consolidating, gold still held below 1300.00


FXstreet.com (New York) - Precious metals have been trading higher Wednesday, refusing to break lower below pre-established supports.

Gold consolidates

Gold prices have been consolidating within a tight range below 1288.00 resistance level, where the latest bearish wave continues to be intact, and thus the suggested bearish scenario. The price is approaching a pivotal support at 1268.00 which if broken will confirm further downside. At the time of writing, gold prices are trading at USD $1287.15 per oz. Wednesday.

Silver support is intact

Silver spot prices were pushing lower, attempting to break below 19.25 support level, so far the support is still intact – a sustained break below shall confirm further downside. The price of silver has now moved to USD $19.55 per oz. during US trading.

WTI maintains neutrality

WTI crude oil continues to fluctuate above the ascending support for the bullish wave, and below 105.85 resistance level, and thus the bias remains neutral, unless we see a break below or above the aforementioned levels. In these moments, WTI crude oil is negotiating a price of USD $104.93/bbl Wednesday.





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  #14  
Old 07-08-2013, 16:39
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Flash: EUR/USD scope for 1.3417 – UBS


FXstreet.com (New York) - UBS Strategists, Gareth Berry and Geoffrey Yu take a technical perspective at today's EUR crosses.

Key quotes

“With the EUR/USD bull trend intact, as reflected by the MACD above its zero line potential is for the pair to move above 1.3345 to test the key resistance at 1.3417. Support is at 1.3233 ahead of the critical 1.3120, suggesting a bullish outlook.”

In terms of the EUR/CHF, “With the trending and momentum pointing lower potential remains for further downside. Support is at 1.2268 ahead of 1.2219. Upside should be limited with a strong resistance is at 1.2348.”

Moving to the EUR/GBP, “Following the test of critical support at 0.8628, the cross advanced. Potential is for a move above 0.8694 to test the critical resistance at 0.8815.” Finally, concerning the EUR/JPY, “With the MACD still above the zero line, the risk is for further upside. Resistance is at 133.80. Any downside will again be held by strong support at 128.86.”





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  #15  
Old 09-08-2013, 21:02
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[COLOR="#0000FF"]USD/CAD hits ceiling at 1.0293[/COLOR]



FXstreet.com (Chicago) - USD/CAD soared amid speculations on commodities demand triggered by positive Chinese production data but retraced shortly thereafter below 1.0293 zone.

Price action indicated the pair respected supports at 1.0297 (July 31st lows), 1.0262 (July 24th lows) ahead of 1.0249 (July 29th lows) and resistances at 1.0300 (July 27th highs), 1.0312 (July 24th highs) followed by 1.0323 (July 20th lows) as it traded at 1.0290 at closing of American markets.

The FXstreet trend index reported the pair as slightly bearish on one-hour timeframe analysis with daily losses adding up to 0.44% along a CCI indicator pointing down.





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  #16  
Old 12-08-2013, 14:21
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[COLOR="#0000FF"]GBP/USD cannot shake negativity, trading at support[/COLOR]




FXstreet.com (New York) - The GBP/USD foreign exchange rate earlier surrendered its grip on the 1.5500 level Monday, only to drop lower and entrench itself in negative territory during US trading.

GBP/USD strategic bias

According to Karen Jones, an analyst at Commerzbank, “The GBP/USD’s recent sharp gains last week took it to 1.5574 from where it has been easing back these past few days. We remain unable to rule out stabs into the 1.5605/26 May high and top of the channel, though. The Elliott wave count is suggesting we should stall here, but we have a number of conflicting signals.”

GBP/USD technical levels

At the time of writing, the GBP/USD is presently operating at 1.5477 Monday, now falling at a rate of -0.10% off its opening. Technically speaking, the GBP/USD is testing support at 1.5484, a break of which will open up additional means at 1.5459 and 1.5422, notes the Mataf.net analyst team.




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Old 12-08-2013, 14:34
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Portuguese minister assures Portugal fully committed to budget goals

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The Minister of Regional Development in Portugal Poiares Maduro said today that the country had agreed to carry out spending cuts worth 4.7 billion euros, as required by the Troika in exchange for bailout funds. According to previous reports the country´s government was considering reducing the spending cuts to 2 billion euros.

"Portugal remains fully committed to its obligations under the assistance program as agreed under the last regular review (of the economy) by the Troika," Poiares Maduro told Reuters on Monday adding that “the 2014 budget is being prepared according to those commitments and the values agreed.”

Two Portuguese ministers stepped down in July, expressing their disagreement towards the amount of budget cuts required by the international lenders and triggering a political turmoil in the country. Currently Portugal is required to reduce its budget deficit to 4% of GDP in 2014 from 5.5% of GDP this year.

The Troika inspectors are due to arrive in Lisbon for another review of the Portuguese bailout program at the end of August. The country´s government will present the budget for 2014 before parliament on October 15.




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Old 12-08-2013, 14:44
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Flash: Jitters in global equity markets, USD bid

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Sebastian Gally, strategist for Societe Generale said Jitters in global equity markets are giving the USD some bid.

Key Quotes:

“…but with a slew of US data releases ahead we are likely to re-establish the short USD long risk relationship until we head for early September with the next NFP release”.

“This suggests that the upward trajectory in EUR/USD is probably not over yet, while USD/JPY which correlates well with positive US economic surprises is showing signs of stabilizing”.

“EUR/USD is continuing to settle lower after failing to breach its longer-term downtrend. As of last Tuesday the market had moved to a marginal long EUR/USD position which most likely increased by Friday and is now being squeezed”.

“We are medium-term bears in EUR/USD, but it seems too early for the major move lower. We would wait for a clean breach above 1.3400 to establish further shorts”.




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Old 12-08-2013, 14:55
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Flash: What will come out of EZ and UK data? – TD Securities

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Tim Davis, Global Strategist, Rates and FX Research at TD Securities eyes the calendar packed week ahead in UK and EZ.

Key Quotes:

“We see upside risks to the German ZEW survey (Tues) and Q2 GDP (Wed) being released this week, though improvements have been smaller elsewhere and France is still struggling, which may limit upside for aggregate Eurozone GDP”.

“UK unemployment (Tues) will be front and centre given it is the new anchor of BoE policy, though we see strong risks of a disappointment number that could see gilts rally in spite of the risk that the simultaneous release of the BoE Minutes may show some division on QE and forward guidance”.




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Old 12-08-2013, 15:00
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USD/CAD testing the 1.0300 level

FXstreet.com (New York) - The USD/CAD foreign exchange rate has moved to the 1.0300 region Monday, clinging to this barrier despite earlier drops below it (1.0279 session low).

USD/CAD strategic bias

Technically speaking, the USD/CAD is now trading at 1.0298, presently incurring a marginal loss of -0.02% off its opening. The Mataf.net analyst team points to supportive means at 1.0297, ahead of 1.0257, and 1.0228.

According to the TD Securities Team, “The USD/CAD has traded higher from Friday’s low, leaving the late-July/early-August trading range firmly intact. The pair’s failure to follow through on some of the bullish signals from early last week was a disappointment to USD/CAD bulls, and while price action is looking more neutral in the short and medium term perspective, our broader bias remains higher still as long as the 1.0250 support holds in the coming days. On the topside, there is a little more room for movement, with key resistance further away in the 1.0440/45 area.”




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  #21  
Old 12-08-2013, 15:11
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EUR/USD momentum building for push above 1.3300?

FXstreet.com (New York) - The EUR/USD foreign exchange rate has effectively bottomed out earlier at the 1.3277 level (session low), only to rebound during US trading and move back towards 1.3300.

At this juncture, the EUR/USD is now navigating the region of 1.3300, still incurring a fall of -0.18% off its opening despite the recent recovery. Briefing the technicals, the EUR/USD is trading at support at 1.3304, a break of which will open up additional means at 1.3282, and 1.3239.

EUR/USD strategic bias

According to Karen Jones, an analyst at Commerzbank, “The EUR/USD last week rallied to and stalled at the 200-week MA and the June high at 1.3394/1.3417. There is little to suggest that the market will maintain a break beyond here. Nonetheless the market remains bid above the 1.3337 accelerated uptrend and only loss of the nearby low at 1.3188 will alleviate immediate upside pressure. Failure here will target the 1.3000 region. Loss of this zone is needed to re-target the 1.2755/40 recent low and April low.”



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  #22  
Old 12-08-2013, 15:40
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USD/JPY extends the correction

FXstreet.com (Edinburgh) -The USD is easing some ground on Monday after lifting the USD/JPY to fresh intraday highs around 96.90.

USD/JPY hurt by data

The Japanese yen managed to leave behind the disappointing data from the Annualized GDP, expanding 2.6% during the second quarter vs. 3.6% expected. Further data also showed that Machine Tool Orders contracted at an annual pace of 12.1% during July. “Moderate scale Japanese net buying of foreign bonds isn’t enough to counter nerves over Japan-China tensions and Nikkei vulnerability to fears that PM Abe’s "third arrow" of reform will never really be fired. "Obon" week should keep volume light, with scope for USD/JPY to dip as far as 94/95. This is a dip we would look to buy”, assessed analysts at Westpac Global Strategy Group.

USD/JPY levels to watch

The pair is now up 0.24% at 96.54 with the next resistance at 96.98 (high Aug.9) ahead of 97.50 (low Aug.6) and then 97.80 (high Aug.7). On the downside, a break below 95.92 (low Aug.12) would target 95.81 (low Aug.8) en route to 95.80 (high Jun.14).



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  #23  
Old 12-08-2013, 16:00
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US sells $30Bn of 3-month bills at 0.055%

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Old 13-08-2013, 17:05
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[COLOR="#0000FF"]EUR/USD bouncing timidly to 1.3250[/COLOR]



FXstreet.com (Edinburgh) -The shared currency continues to show lack of confidence in any upside attempt on Tuesday, with the EUR/USD now hovering over the mid 1.3200s.

EUR/USD surrender gains

The pair matched last week’s lows in the lower 1.3200s in the wake of the US retail sales, intensifying the broader bearishness after recent peaks around the critical 1.3400 the figure. Camilla Sutton, Chief FX Strategist at Scotiabank, argued that short-term technical remains bullish although losing momentum, adding, “the MACD is even flirting with a bearish cross and candlesticks warn of a shift from the bulls to the bears being in control of the market. EUR continues to trade within its broad 1.28 to 1.34 range and likely needs a catalyst to be pushed outside”.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment the pair is down 0.36% at 1.3252 and a breakdown of 1.3200 (psychological level) would open the door to 1.3188 (low Aug.2) and finally 1.3166 (low Jul.25). On the upside, resistance levels line up at 1.3391 (high Aug.9) followed by 1.3401 (high Aug.8) and then 1.3417 (high Jun.19).



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Old 13-08-2013, 19:27
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[COLOR="#0000FF"]EUR/CHF on meteoritic rise to 10-days highs[/COLOR]



FXstreet.com (Chicago) - EUR/CHF clawed above 1.2370 zone on formidable Tuesday session upswing.

Earlier in Europe, the ZEW survey was out with a 44.0 economic sentiment outperforming expectations at 37.4 and previous 32.8. Similarly, industrial production results (YoY) reached 0.3% vs. projected 0.2%, sending the euro to new levels against a timid Swissy.

Technically speaking, the pair trades at 1.2373, between supports at 1.2365 (June 18th highs), 1.2356 (August 2nd highs) ahead of 1.2347 (July 31st highs) and resistances at 1.2375 (July 1st highs), 1.2384 (August 12th highs) followed by 1.2397 (July 16th highs). According to the FXstreet.com trend index, the pair is slightly bullish on one-hour timeframe analysis with a MACD pointing up.

Market participants await Euro-zone GDP data for the second quarter of the year to be available publicly tomorrow morning.




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Old 15-08-2013, 14:21
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EUR/CHF on meteoritic rise to 10-days highs



FXstreet.com (Chicago) - EUR/CHF clawed above 1.2370 zone on formidable Tuesday session upswing.

Earlier in Europe, the ZEW survey was out with a 44.0 economic sentiment outperforming expectations at 37.4 and previous 32.8. Similarly, industrial production results (YoY) reached 0.3% vs. projected 0.2%, sending the euro to new levels against a timid Swissy.

Technically speaking, the pair trades at 1.2373, between supports at 1.2365 (June 18th highs), 1.2356 (August 2nd highs) ahead of 1.2347 (July 31st highs) and resistances at 1.2375 (July 1st highs), 1.2384 (August 12th highs) followed by 1.2397 (July 16th highs). According to the FXstreet.com trend index, the pair is slightly bullish on one-hour timeframe analysis with a MACD pointing up.

Market participants await Euro-zone GDP data for the second quarter of the year to be available publicly tomorrow morning.




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Old 15-08-2013, 14:38
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St. Louis Fed head Bullard worried about rising US yields

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - St. Louis Fed President James Bullard expressed his worries about the increase in the benchmark US 10-year bond yields, after they hit a two-year high on Thursday.

"I think it is a concern," he admitted, speaking at the Breakfast with the Fed event sponsored by the Bank’s Louisville Branch. He added however that "the level of yields now is still quite low by historical standards."

Bullard referred to the situation of the US housing market, which in his opinion is strong enough overcome the higher yields. He also suggested there were currently no major asset bubbles which could undermine financial stability in the US.

As far as the Fed QE tapering prospects are concerned, Bullard reiterated that reducing asset purchases too aggressively could lead to a further drop in inflation. That is why initially QE could be scaled back only by a small amount.




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Old 15-08-2013, 14:53
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US EIA Natural Gas Storage change falls to 65B in August 9 from 96B



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Old 15-08-2013, 15:22
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AUD/USD bounces off lows, though downtrend remains



FXstreet.com (New York) - The AUD/USD technical pair took a tumble Thursday morning during US trading, as the USD had its way with the AUD after the release of earlier US CPI and employment data.

Having bottomed out at 0.9058 (session low), the AUD/USD is now navigating the region of 0.9085, en route to a staunch decline of -0.41% off its opening. Briefing the technicals, the AUD/USD blew through previous support at 0.9103, and will now look to 0.9052 and 0.9023 to suspend any further collapse, calculates the Mataf.net analyst team.

AUD/USD strategic bias

According to Axel Rudolph, an analyst at Commerzbank, “The AUD/USD is bouncing off the breached downtrend channel line at 0.9050 and has the 55-day MA at 0.9247 back in focus. Between it and the 0.9319 July high we should see failure and the resumption of the longer-term bearish trend. Longer-term we remain negative and our downside target is seen at 0.8550, the 50% retracement of the move up from 2008. Our longer-term downside target measured from the top is 0.7700.”


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Old 15-08-2013, 15:32
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USD/JPY unstable below 98.00?



FXstreet.com (New York) - The USD/JPY foreign exchange rate has been entrenched in negative territory Thursday, careening off a ledge and tumbling below the 98.00 region during US trading.

USD/JPY strategic bias

According to Jim Langlands at FX Charts, “On the topside, above 98.40, the 200-day MA lies at 98.68. A sustained move above here would see a move towards 99.00 and eventually 100.00. There are plenty of sellers lined up at the higher levels and I would really be quite surprised to see the dollar trade much above the 200-day MA today. On the downside, 97.90 is the immediate support. Below this further bids are likely at 97.75 and then 97.50. I would be surprised to see it back down here either, but if wrong, further bids should be found at 97.20.”

USD/JPY technical levels

The USD/JPY has recovered the mark of 97.88 in these moments, after touching the 97.59 level earlier (session low). At this juncture, the pair is incurring a loss of -0.26% off its opening during US trading. Technically speaking, the USD/JPY will face support at 97.64, ahead of 97.37, and 96.98.


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Old 15-08-2013, 17:31
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US Dollar Index losing its shine




FXstreet.com (Edinburgh) -After a quick spike beyond 81.90 post-jobs data, the greenback – gauged by the US Dollar Index – is trading back to the negative territory around 81.65/70.

DXY keeps the red on mixed data

The cheerful tone on multi-year lows of Initial Claims - level last seen in October 2007 - was rapidly eclipsed by the industrial production and regional manufacturing indices bellow forecasts, prompting the world’s reserve to scale back initial gains. Daragh Mayer, Senior FX Strategist at HSBC Research, assessed, “despite the market's recent focus on the prospects for Fed tapering, there is not yet strong evidence that this theme has started to dominate. This may change once market activity picks up again in September, but for now local news may be more important than global developments in driving FX rates”.

DXY levels to watch

The index is now losing 0.08% at 81.67 with the immediate support at 80.86 (low Aug.8) followed by 80.50 (low Jun.19) and then 80.27 (low Feb.20). On the upside, a break above 82.50 (high Aug.2) would expose 83.12 (high Jul.15) and then 84.75 (high Jul.9).


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Old 15-08-2013, 17:53
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EUR/USD climbs to highs around 1.3350






FXstreet.com (Edinburgh) -A sudden bout of buying interest catapulted the EUR/USD to fresh weekly highs around 1.3350 on Thursday, although giving away some pips afterwards.

EUR/USD extends upside beyond 1.3300

It seems this is the push the single currency was looking for in order to follow through 1.3300 the figure. Although the catalyst remains yet unknown, market chatter places stop orders triggered after the USD/JPY fell to session lows around 97.30.

EUR/USD levels to watch

As of writing the pair is advancing 0.48% at 1.3320 with the next resistance at 1.3345 (high Aug.12) followed by 1.3391 (high Aug.9). On the downside, a breach of 1.3188 (low Aug.2) would open the door to 1.3179 (MA30d) and then 1.3164 (low Jul.23).


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Old 15-08-2013, 18:01
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USD/CHF, smashed by the bears?





FXstreet.com (Chicago) - USD/CHF tops losers among major currency pairs accumulating 0.73% daily losses and dropping to 0.9248 intraday lows.

Price action reveals a strong bearish sentiment among market participants as the pair has been sent to new grounds within seconds. At 0.9259, the pair trades between supports at 0.9262 (June 16th highs), 0.9237 (August 6th lows) ahead of 0.9214 (August 10th lows) and resistances at 0.9286 (August 7th highs), 0.9310 (June 22nd lows) followed by 0.9330 (July 31st highs).

According to the FXstreet.com trend index the pair is slightly bearish on one-hour timeframe analysis with a MACD pointing down.



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Old 15-08-2013, 18:19
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GBP/JPY, persists on upswing



FXstreet.com (Chicago) - GBP/JPY accumulates 0.21% gains so far despite strong retracement from 153.20 zone earlier today.

Earlier in the UK, retail sales data triggered a bullish reaction as the pair peaked above 153.20. At 1.1% (MoM), retail sales were better than expected as projections were at 0.6%. Similarly, retail sales ex-fuel matched 1.1% to outbeat the same estimates, up 0.5%.

Since the data was released, the price has cascaded to the 152.32 zone to trade at 152.26 between supports at 152.00 (July 16th highs), 151.76 (June 21st highs) ahead of 151.55 (July 8th highs) and resistances at 152.33 (July 22nd lows), 152.65 (July 31st highs) followed by 152.96 (July 28th highs). The FXstreet.com trend index reports the pair as slightly bullish on one-hour timeframe analysis, navigating above EMA20.


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Old 15-08-2013, 18:25
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GBP/USD catapults higher as 1.5600 barrier fails to curb advance



FXstreet.com (New York) - The GBP/USD foreign exchange rate surged to fresh highs Thursday, streaming above the 1.5600 level during US trading.

Technically speaking, the GBP/USD is now operating at 1.5638, securing a steadfast gain of +0.87% above it’s opening during US trading. With the GBP/USD already breaking resistance at 1.5621, the next level of correction will attempt to stymie an advance at 1.5695, notes the Mataf.net analyst team.

GBP/USD strategic bias

According to the Technical Analyst Team at ICN.com, “The GBP/USD is attempting to the upside but notably breached the 78.6% correction at 1.5550. This level represents an intraday interval and a break above this will avert a bearish correction during the US session especially, despite the fact the stochastic is still negative.”


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Old 16-08-2013, 15:37
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Gold held at 1365 resistance, silver testing 23.00




FXstreet.com (New York) - Precious metals have clung to their gains Friday, held by respective resistances that have retraced off of earlier highs.

Gold testing 1365 resistance

Gold prices initially broke the 1365 resistance and traded as high as 1373 earlier today, though during US trading prices have retreated back to 1365. Despite this easing however, the bullish momentum remains strong, and accordingly a bullish scenario is still maintained. At the time of writing, gold prices are trading at USD $1365.35 per oz. Friday.

Silver testing 22.00

Silver breached the 23.00 level earlier today, trading in the heights of 23.27 (daily high) before an easing back towards the 23.00 resistance. Ultimately the technicals still support a push higher, with the MACD in positive territory supporting the bullish wave, and the possible breakout continues to be effective. The price of silver has now moved to USD $23.05 per oz. during US trading.



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Old 16-08-2013, 15:48
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Flash: EUR/USD targets 1.3417 resistance with bullishness intact – UBS





FXstreet.com (New York) - UBS Strategists, Gareth Berry and Geoffrey Yu take a technical perspective at today's EUR crosses.

Key quotes

“With bullish conditions in place, the EUR/USD has its first resistance focus at 1.3417, a break above which would open 1.3520. Support is at 1.3206 ahead of 1.3154, suggesting a bullish outlook.”

In terms of the EUR/CHF, “With the MACD threatening to cross above its zero line, the risk is for more upside. Resistance is at 1.2466/85. Support is at 1.2331 ahead of 1.2268.”

Moving to the EUR/GBP, “The cross closed below 0.8540 and this is a bearish trigger, indicating scope for a move 0.8469 and test the important support at 0.8398. Resistance sis at 0.8569 ahead of 0.8610.”



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Old 16-08-2013, 15:57
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GBP/USD rejected from above 1.5650






FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - After repeated failure to decisively break above the 1.5650/55 area, GBP/USD turned lower and retraced some of its recent gains, dropping to fresh daily lows in recent dealings.

The GBP/USD hit a fresh 2-month high of 1.5655, but was rejected from that level and surrendered gains, dipping into negative ground for the day. At time of writing, GBP/USD is trading at the 1.5610 zone, down 0.2% on the day, having scored a daily low of 1.5606 in recent dealings.

GBP/USD levels to watch

In terms of technical levels, immediate supports are seen at 1.5606/00 (daily lows/psychological level) and 1.5517 (200-day SMA). On the other hand, if GBP/USD manages to break above the 1.5650/55 area, next resistances could be found at 1.5678 (Jun 19 high) and 1.5700 (psychological level).



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Old 16-08-2013, 16:45
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[COLOR="#0000FF"]USD/CAD extends gains higher[/COLOR]


FXstreet.com (New York) - The USD/CAD foreign exchange rate has been performing remarkably better Friday, after a brush with negativity yesterday – a familiar path for most USD pairs.

USD/CAD strategic bias

According to the TD Securities Team, “On the charts, the USD/CAD did not avoid the whippy price action that has pervaded the market over the past 24 hours, but its moves were much tamer than many of the other major currencies. The short and medium term charts are still reflective of a consolidation phase for the pair, and the longer-term charts (weekly) suggest the bull trend is still intact. With that in mind, we still favor an ultimate break to the upside of the current neutral range, which is defined by 1.0250/1.0445.”

USD/CAD technical levels

The USD/CAD has moved up to 1.0347 in these moments, though is still trading below its highs at 1.0362 Friday. At this juncture, the pair is securing a gain of +0.40% above opening during US trading. Technically speaking, the USD/CAD will face resistance at 1.0365, onto 1.0405, notes the Danske Research Team.



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Old 16-08-2013, 16:52
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USD/CAD extends gains higher


FXstreet.com (New York) - The USD/CAD foreign exchange rate has been performing remarkably better Friday, after a brush with negativity yesterday – a familiar path for most USD pairs.

USD/CAD strategic bias

According to the TD Securities Team, “On the charts, the USD/CAD did not avoid the whippy price action that has pervaded the market over the past 24 hours, but its moves were much tamer than many of the other major currencies. The short and medium term charts are still reflective of a consolidation phase for the pair, and the longer-term charts (weekly) suggest the bull trend is still intact. With that in mind, we still favor an ultimate break to the upside of the current neutral range, which is defined by 1.0250/1.0445.”

USD/CAD technical levels

The USD/CAD has moved up to 1.0347 in these moments, though is still trading below its highs at 1.0362 Friday. At this juncture, the pair is securing a gain of +0.40% above opening during US trading. Technically speaking, the USD/CAD will face resistance at 1.0365, onto 1.0405, notes the Danske Research Team.



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