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  #1  
Old 04-10-2016, 08:10
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Default Daily Economic news by ForexMart

Australia Central Bank Maintains Cash Rates at 1.5%

The Australian Central Bank released a statement on Tuesday that it will be maintaining its cash rates at 1.5%, a decision that is expected among financial market players as the central bank is still in the middle of assessing the effects of its previous cash rate cuts in May and August.

The RBA made this particular statement during its policy meeting which is held every month. Analysts are expected little if not completely no change for the RBA during the week.


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Old 06-06-2018, 08:07
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Sluggish Growth of Japan Services Sector in May, New Orders Declined

Japan’s services sector activity rose at a sluggish pace in May than the previous month given the expansion of new orders at the slowest pace since September 2016, based on the private survey on Tuesday. This implies that the economy has lost its momentum in the second quarter.

However, the business confidence increased to the highest for four months in April as the companies launch new products to give way for the expected increases in the future demand.

The Markit/Nikkei Japan Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) declined on a seasonally adjusted basis to 51.0 in May from 52.5 in April.

Moreover, there is a rising concern on the lesser demand conditions as new sales rising but at a subdued rate in 20 months, according to an economist at IHS Markit, Joe Hayes, who gathers the survey.

To sustain the business activity, firms started to clear the “backlogs of work”. High business activities dropped for the first time in the first five months of the year.

The composite PMI, which includes both manufacturing and services, decreased to 51.7 from 53.1 in April.

Japanese manufacturing activity rose in May at the slowest rate in seven months due to cooled down new orders based on the revised survey on Friday. This implies lesser domestic demand of the country. Hence, the economy weakened in the first quarter that ends the growth for eight consecutive quarters, which was the longest steady growth since the 1980s bubble economy.

Since the end of the first quarter, the negative outcome on factory data induced uncertainty on the rate of recovery by the economy.
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Old 20-06-2018, 06:02
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SNB Keeps an Ultra Loose Monetary Policies

The Swiss National Bank announced the decision to maintain an ultra-loose monetary policy on Thursday and analysts expectations matched from the survey by Reuters giving a unanimous answer.

They reiterated the fragility or exchange rates after the strengthening of the Swiss franc in the past few weeks and began low this year.

At the same time, Chairman Thomas Jordan said that it would be too early to raise rates in Switzerland amid low inflation.

Another issue is the political uncertainty in Italy which will affect the eurozone in the future and it is important for the central bank to be heedful in this situation, according to an analyst.
Forty experts expect the SNB to maintain the target range to be 1.25 percent to minus 0.25 percent in three months on the offered rate of London Interbank, which has been the ongoing target for the past three-and-a-half years.

Also, they expect a negative interest rate of 0.75 percent deposits to be sustained where the commercial bank held a certain value as one of the important tools used by the bank.

Changes in the LIBOR target range is anticipated to happen soonest at the end of the year based on the UBS, while the median consensus deems to set at the end of next year.

Analyst of Credit Suisse initially thought the central bank to raise their rates as early as 2019 based on the economic strength of Switzerland, with a forecast growth of 2.2 percent this year.

The Global Head of Investment Strategy & Research at Credit Suisse Group AG, Nannette Hechler-Fayd’herbe said, “Our base case scenario is where the ECB is considering a first interest rate increase themselves by mid-2019, and the SNB could move a quarter before.” Connoting the reaffirmation of central bank’s decision. However, she added that these two would move together as they are ‘economically interlinked’.

Her expectation is a gradual increase of rates until it reached around 1.20 against the euro in a year.
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Old 08-11-2019, 16:07
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08.11. Gold shows worst indicators in two years

Gold prices continue to show the worst performance over the past two years, responding to positive news on the settlement of trade differences between the US and China. Today, gold futures for December delivery fell to $1,457.10 per troy ounce, plummeting from the $1,493 area. Such lows were the biggest loss since 2017.

The pressure on the precious metal was exerted by news about the mutual abolition of US and Chinese duties. The elimination of duties is one of the main conditions for concluding the first stage of a trade deal. Success in negotiations supports the full range of risky assets, and gold, as a rule, moves in the opposite direction from risk.

Additional pressure on gold was exerted by the news that the People's Bank of China, being a constant accumulator of gold bullion, was not able to replenish its reserves again in October.
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Old 11-11-2019, 14:53
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11.11. Oman believes non-OPEC will extend the deal to reduce oil production

Oman’s energy minister Mohammed bin Hamad al-Rumhy said today, that OPEC and non-OPEC producers will probably extend a deal to limit crude supply, but the oil production will be kept at the current level (1.2 million barrels per day).

The minister also noted, that oil demand was improving lately as trade tensions soften and that Oman was satisfied with current oil prices.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Russia and other allies have agreed since January to reduce oil production by 1.2 million barrels per day to maintain the market. Nowadays the experts see signs of improvement in the situation with balance of demand and supply in the oil market, fear of recession is getting lower, and optimistic signals about a trade agreement between the US and China make unnecessary the further reducing measures.
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Old 12-11-2019, 14:27
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12.11. The world’s largest trade deal could be signed in 2020

After more than 6 years of negotiations, a group of 15 Asia-Pacific countries is going to sign the the world’s largest trade agreement in 2020. The deal is called Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and it will involve all 10 countries from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) bloc and five of its major trading partners: Australia, China, Japan, New Zealand and South Korea. The United States are not to be the joiner to the RCEP.

Initially India planned to join the mega-deal, but later decided to abstain from participation in trade pact over concerns that it would hurt domestic producers.

In any case, the 15 member-countries make up close to one-third of the world population and global gross domestic product.

So, the uniting within the RCEP would boost trade throughout the group by reducing tariffs, standardizing customs rules and procedures and expanding market access, especially among countries that have not concluded trade agreements.

Last edited by KostiaFM; 12-11-2019 at 14:31.
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Old 13-11-2019, 14:32
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13.11. The results of D. Trump’s speech at the Economic Club of New York

Yesterday in a speech to the Economic Club of New York US President Donald Trump announced the «imminent» prospects of completing the first phase of the trade deal with China, but did not provide any new details about the talks.

The president’s speech disappointed investors, as they awaited any important political statements to be made. But Trump didn’t announce the place and date of signing a trade deal with Chinese President Xi Jinping, as it was expected before. Instead of this American president threaten to «very substantially» raise tariffs on Chinese goods if China does not make a deal with the United States.

Along with this Trump noted, that the US would only accept the deal if it served the interests of his country, American employees and companies.

The biggest part of president’s speech was devoted to success of White House administration. Trump said his staff had worked hard to bolster the economy despite of «too many interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve».
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