Weekly Outlook: Gold, Silver, Natural Gas
Dear clients,
With banks falling, fuel prices soaring and inflation roaring, the markets are going full Pinball. The only safe haven so far would be precious metals. This time, we'll be looking at gold, silver and gas, current and future movements.
Join us on April 5 at 12:00 GMT.
During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.
Again with the Charts: FreshForex Forecast Contest
Dear clients,
The contest is back!
Do you have specific data, are confident in your numbers, or just want to test yourself?
From April 5 to 30, join traders on FB and test your trading instincts. The reward will be a prize of $50 to the account.
Forecasts of the first stage are accepted until April 7, 12:00 GMT.
Follow the details of the stages on our official page.
Oil Shock and Awe
Dear clients,
The unexpected OPEC+ production cut on Sunday changed the oil price outlook, bringing $100 a barrel back into view.
Saudi Arabia has taken the first step by pledging to cut its supplies by 500,000 barrels a day. Other members, including Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and Algeria, followed suit, while Russia said the production cuts it implemented from March to June would last until the end of 2023.
This is a significant decline for a market where, despite recent price fluctuations, supply was limited in the second half of the year. Oil futures rose 8% in New York on Monday, while gasoline also ramped up, adding to inflationary pressures that could force central banks around the world to keep interest rates higher for longer.
Traders were taken by surprise by the move, given that just weeks ago, senior Saudi oil official Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman insisted that OPEC+'s 2022 production quotas "are in place until the end of the year, period."
Previously, the cartel's own data suggested that the group would have to produce more oil in the second half of the year, not less. With the International Energy Agency expecting a surge in demand later this year, the risk of a new inflationary momentum for the global economy has now re-emerged.
After the decision was made, leading oil analysts started talking about oil at $100, some expect that the global balance of supply and demand will be in deficit earlier than expected. This view is reflected in Brent's increasing backwardation, with the premium for on-time deliveries rising over later deliveries, signaling tension. This view is reflected in Brent's increased backwardation, with the premium for on-time deliveries rising over later deliveries, signaling tension.
Options markets are now showing a bullish shift in sentiment. According to ICE Futures Europe, the most popular option on Brent crude over the next 12 months allows the holder to buy futures at $100, equivalent to nearly 140 million barrels of open interest.