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Old 11-07-2019, 11:14
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EUR/USD: Current Dynamics

Shortly after the start of the speech of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in the Congress on Wednesday, the dollar fell sharply. Powell’s comments reinforced market participants ’confidence that the Fed would cut interest rates already at the July meeting, although Powell declined to directly answer the question of such a scenario. He stressed that the prospects for the US economy in recent weeks have not improved, noting that the sustainability of inflation weakness "is an argument in favor of a more stimulating monetary policy".
EUR / USD rose on Wednesday by 43 points, closely approaching the resistance level of 1.1260 (ЕМА200 on the 1-hour chart).
Today Eurodollar growth continued. Nevertheless, despite the growth after yesterday's Powell performance, below the resistance level of 1.1350 (ЕМА200 on the daily chart), the long-term negative dynamics of EUR / USD remains. The signal for sales will be the breakdown of the short-term support level of 1.1260 (ЕМА200 on the 1-hour chart).
In the alternative scenario, EUR / USD will move towards the key resistance level of 1.1350 (ЕМА200 on the daily chart) with intermediate targets at resistance levels of 1.1285 (Fibonacci level 23.6% of the correction to a fall from the level of 1.3900, which began in May 2014), 1.1305 (ЕМА144 on the daily chart). A rise above resistance level 1.1350 is unlikely. World central banks are alarmed by threats to economic growth from tensions in trade relations. The ECB, like several central banks in other countries, is also leaning towards policy easing, although it has less room for more aggressive easing.
Powell’s second appearance is scheduled for today (14:00 GMT). The trigger for reducing the Eurodollar today can be the publication at 11:30 (GMT) of the minutes from the June meeting of the ECB. Also from the news today we should pay attention to the publication (at 12:30 GMT) of a whole block of important macro statistics from the United States, among which are consumer price indices. Their growth is expected in June by + 0.2% (against + 0.1% in May). If the data is confirmed or will be better than the forecast, the dollar can partially compensate for yesterday's losses and strengthen, including against the euro.
Support Levels: 1.1260, 1.1195, 1.1180, 1.1125
Resistance Levels: 1.1285, 1.1305, 1.1350, 1.1410, 1.1445, 1.1510, 1.1600

Trading Recommendations

Sell Stop 1.1250. Stop Loss 1.1285. Take-Profit 1.1195, 1.1180, 1.1125
Buy Stop 1.1285. Stop Loss 1.1250. Take-Profit 1.1305, 1.1350, 1.1410, 1.1445

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